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builds up, during the run-up phase of crises and asset price bubbles, and increases when systemic risk materializes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499703
that the macroprudential policy should optimally respond to building asset price bubbles non-monotonically depending on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862442
financial crisis. The effect of bubbles on stock and housing markets and their transmission to the domestic real economy and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336205
Motivated by the complex dynamics between the oil and stock markets, this study develops a dynamic Markov regime switching-copula-extreme value theory (MRS-copula-EVT) model to quantitatively investigate financial contagion and its characteristics between these two markets. The proposed model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824924
The increasing crypto-stock comovement has spurred concerns over digital assets’ ripple effects and systemic risks. We closely examine this comovement and report two findings. First, the crypto-stock correlation hovered around zero before March 2020 but increased strikingly after. This shift...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014253915
, drawn from a book in progress, examines the history of stock markets for comparable pure price-chasing bubbles, finding nine … way down - of these greatest asset bubbles in human history. When one applies this framework to the current US stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496514
predicts a bubble’s future maximum drawdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352275
We develop a model of rational bubbles based on the assumptions of unknown market liquidity and limited liability of … condition for whether rational bubbles are possible. Based on this analysis, we discuss several widely-discussed policy measures … with respect to their effectiveness in preventing bubbles. A reduction of manager bonuses or a Tobin tax can create or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008738294
We develop a parsimonious model of bubbles based on the assumption of imprecisely known market depth. In a speculative … possibility of bubbles depending on the risk-free rate, uncertainty about market depth, and traders’ degree of leverage. This … allows us to discuss several policy measures. Bubbles always reduce aggregate welfare. Among others, certain monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393456
of financial bubbles depress the real economy? This paper addresses these questions by constructing an infinite …-horizon heterogeneous agent general equilibrium model with speculative bubbles. We characterize conditions under which storable goods …, regardless of their intrinsic values, can carry bubbles and agents are willing to invest in such bubbles despite their positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158843