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When analyzing terms-of-trade shocks, it is implicitly assumed that the economy responds symmetrically to changes in export and import prices. Using a sample of developing countries our paper shows that this is not the case. We construct export and import price indices using commodity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250081
. The relationship between these variables is theoretically ambiguous: an adverse transitory terms of trade shock can either …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781565
alternative explanation of the J-curve phenomenon. We find that an unanticipated ToT shock increases real output as well as … ToT shock leads to the J-curve effect. We find that our main result, concerning the J-curve phenomenon, continues to hold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941215
exported primary commodities, imported capital goods and intermediate inputs, and a financial shock, modeled as fluctuations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321425
Does an improvement in growth prospects lead to a fall in the trade balance? The relevance of this question stems from the tendency for countercyclical fluctuations in the trade balance stressed by both the academic literature and policymakers. However, we do not find that improved growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160788
Does an improvement in growth prospects lead to a fall in the trade balance? The relevance of this question stems from the tendency for countercyclical fluctuations in the trade balance stressed by both the academic literature and policymakers. However, we do not find that improved growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134287
Friedman's hypothesis. In response to a negative terms-of-trade shock, countries with fixed regimes experience large and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014056753
Most of empirical studies find evidence of the J-Curve, but recent results cast doubt over its standard explanation. By addressing the countercyclicality of the current account and its dynamic link with the terms of trade, this paper revisits the J-Curve phenomenon using a two-good dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014209896
. Current accounts experience, on average, a contemporaneous variation of only about 1/2 of the magnitude of the price shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960576
. This paper investigates the extent to which a credit shock in one country is transmitted to its trade partners. To this end … investment loans. We find that a negative credit shock to one country induces a sharp contraction in that country's economy …. The degree of credit-shock transmission depends on the home bias in international trade and the type of goods countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280030