Engsted, Tom; Siliverstovs, Boriss; Haldrup, Niels - 2003
multicointegrated systems. For the forecast evaluation we consider several loss functions, each of which has a particular interpretation … square forecast error (MSFE) criterion focuses on the forecast errors of the flow variables alone. Likewise, a loss function … based on the triangular representation of cointegrated systems (suggested by Christoffersen and Diebold) considers forecast …