Since Taylor estimated a trade-off between inflation and output variance, it has been widely accepted that efforts to keep the inflation rate too low and stable will likely result in relatively larger output fluctuations. Following the generalized reduction in inflation variance in the 1990s,...

The analysis of market efficiency in the foreign exchange market adopted a new approach after Granger (1986) stated that assets in an efficient market could not be cointegrated. If they were, there would be a market inefficiency since there would be Granger causality running at least in one...

We propose to incorporate cross-sectional heterogeneity into structural VARs. Heterogeneity provides an additional dimension along which one can identify structural shocks and perform hypothesis tests. We provide an application to bank runs, based on microeconomic deposit market data. We impose...

This paper describes a methodology to estimate the coefficients, to test specification hypotheses and to conduct policy exercises in multi-country VAR models with cross unit interdependencies, unit specific dynamics and time variations in the coefficients. The framework of analysis is Bayesian:...

We investigate how key monetary policy instruments and financial regulation affect the banking firm. We take the user cost approach to the construction of prices for financial services and use quarterly data on the U.S. commercial banking sector, over the period from 1992 to 2016, obtained from...

We propose to incorporate cross-sectional heterogeneity into structural VARs. Heterogeneity provides an additional dimension along which one can identify structural shocks and perform hypothesis tests. We provide an application to bank runs, based on microeconomic deposit market data. We impose...

This paper examines the impact of different types of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy, using a factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) approach. The results indicate that when examining the effects of oil price shocks, it is important to account for the interaction between the oil market and the...

We explore the consequences from the two regulatory frameworks Dodd-Frank and EMIR for industrial corporates. We point out that - by falling under the clearing obligation - not only the corporate's option to decide freely on its positioning within the well-known “Risk Triangle” is...

This paper introduces ECB-(RE)BASE as the model-consistent, or rational expectation version of the ECB-BASE model. It brings new analytical capabilities to consider varying degrees of heterogeneity in expectation formation across the agents of the model. While the original version of ECB-BASE...