Showing 1 - 10 of 21,380
-based equity valuation and market value of equity we introduce two new concepts: coincident and forecast relevance of accounting … coincident and forecast relevance by estimating Ohlson model parameters with country panel regressions for exchange …-listed companies from France and Germany. The results confirm that coincident relevance is stronger than forecast relevance in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116111
This study examines whether analysts' decisions to issue cash flows forecasts depend endogenously on their decision to use these forecasts to set target prices. An endogenous switching regression model, with analyst report regimes of disclosure and non-disclosure of cash flow forecasts, shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104027
While levels of actual and consensus forecast earnings per share (EPS) vary with scale (measured typically by share … price), magnitudes of the difference do not vary with scale. That is, forecast errors within a certain range (e.g., plus … with scale for forecast dispersion, representing magnitudes of the difference between individual forecasts and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150510
Prior research shows that disagreement leads to speculative trading and a speculative premium in stock prices. We examine how managers respond to this speculative premium. Using exogenous variation in speculative trading due to the reconstitution of the Russell 1000/2000 indices, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838034
This paper studies whether illiquidity affects the predictability of fundamental valuation variables. Firm-level, cross-sectional analyses show that returns of illiquid stocks contain less information about their firm's future earnings growth compared to those of more liquid stocks. A natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940517
We propose a modification to the Dechow and Dichev (2002) model (DD hereafter) by replacing realized next-period cash flows with forecasted future cash flows. We first theorize the relation between the modified- and original DD model and that between abnormal accruals from the modified DD model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007971
reliance does not translate into an increased impact per unit of each non-fundamental factor on forecast bias. Finally, our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857242
. My main hypothesis is accounting-based drivers can be used to forecast future volatility incremental to either past …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037345
This paper details efforts at developing and estimating a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) econometric model representative of the financial statements of a firm. Although the model can be generalized to represent the financial statements of any firm, this work was carried out as a case study, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211147
By decomposing analysts' forecast errors into common and idiosyncratic components, we develop a simple model aimed at … explaining the relationship between forecast uncertainty and analyst dispersion. Under this framework, we propose a new measure … of earnings forecast uncertainty as the sum of dispersion among analysts and the variance of mean forecast errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138826