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In recent years, we have observed significant growth in unconventional energy, shale energy, in particular in the United States. There was a boom, followed by a bust. The plunge in oil price triggered a prolonged bust in the energy sector. Which firms will benefit, and which will be squeezed out...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013795
This paper analyses the attributes and the significance of the roughness of oil market volatility. We employ unspanned … stochastic volatility models driven by rough Brownian motions that yield semi-analytical prices for futures options entailing … futures and provide empirical evidence of the roughness in oil volatility. Introducing just one additional parameter, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260238
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market in a general-equilibrium model of the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility … of oil prices. Our model predicts a large decline in this volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955791
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the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility of oil prices. Our model predicts a … large decline in this volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455258
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The Kilian and Murphy (2014) structural vector autoregressive model has become the workhorse model for the analysis of oil markets. I explore various refinements and extensions of this model, including the effects of (1) correcting an error in the measure of global real economic activity, (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230336
This paper studies macroeconomic consequences of oil price shocks caused by innovations in the monopoly power in the oil market. Monopoly power is interpreted as oil producers' ability to charge a markup over marginal costs. We propose a novel way to identify markup shocks based on meetings of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014118702