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1
International macroeconomic vulnerability
Velloso, João
;
Garcia, Márcio Gomes Pinto
;
Guillen, Diogo
-
2022
We propose and implement an index of macroeconomic vulnerability to foreign shocks based on a structural time-varying bayesianVARwith a block-exogeneity hypothesis for a given pair of a large economy and a small open economy. The index is based on the sum of the responses of the small open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814956
Saved in:
2
International Business Cycle Coherence and Phases
Wang, Peijie
-
2013
This paper examines international linkages amongst G7 economies, in terms of co-movements in output growth and fluctuations, in the frequency domain. The paper has identified patterns in international business cycle co-movements among the G7, offering a general outlook of international business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078720
Saved in:
3
Global Long-run Risk and International Business Cycles : A Factor-Stochastic Volatility Approach
Figueiredo, Calebe
-
2018
We extract a global factor from cross-country output growth since 1960. We find that the fluctuations of the global factor are typically small, with the annualized unconditional volatility estimated at 0.06%, but highly persistent, with estimated persistence at 0.98. Evidence of time variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908986
Saved in:
4
Arming in the Global Economy : The Importance of Trade with Enemies and Friends
Garfinkel, Michelle R.
-
2019
We analyze how trade openness matters for interstate conflict over productive resources. Our analysis features a terms-of-trade channel that makes security policies trade-regime dependent. Specifically, trade between two adversaries reduces each one’s incentive to arm given the opponent’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892081
Saved in:
5
The economic effects of international sanctions : an event study
Gutmann, Jerg
;
Neuenkirch, Matthias
;
Neumeier, Florian
-
2021
-
This Version: October 26, 2021
Although international sanctions are a widely used instrument of coercion, their economic effects are still not well-understood. This study uses a novel dataset and an event study approach to evaluate the economic consequences of international sanctions, thereby visualizing pre-treatment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499680
Saved in:
6
The economic effects of international sanctions : an event study
Gutmann, Jerg
;
Neuenkirch, Matthias
;
Neumeier, Florian
-
2021
-
This Version: April 7, 2021
Although international sanctions are a widely used instrument of coercion, their economic effects are still not fully understood. This study uses a novel dataset and an event study approach to evaluate the economic consequences of international sanctions, thereby accounting for pre-treatment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499927
Saved in:
7
The economic effects of international sanctions : an event study
Gutmann, Jerg
;
Neuenkirch, Matthias
;
Neumeier, Florian
-
2021
Although international sanctions are a widely used instrument of coercion, their economic effects are still not fully understood. This study uses a novel dataset and an event study approach to evaluate the economic consequences of international sanctions, thereby accounting for pre-treatment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500430
Saved in:
8
Global uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni
;
Castelnuovo, Efrem
-
2021
the
world
output loss that materialized during the great recession would have been 13% lower in absence of GFU shocks. We … after GFU shocks, the larger the
world
output contraction is. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805
Saved in:
9
Global uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni
;
Castelnuovo, Efrem
-
2021
achieves set-identiÖcation via a combination of narrative, sign, ratio, and correlation restrictions. We Önd that the
world
…, the larger the
world
output contraction is. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432185
Saved in:
10
The macroeconomic cost of climate volatility
Alessandri, Piergiorgio
;
Mumtaz, Haroon
-
2021
We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2005. We show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate conditions less predictable across countries, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012608712
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