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Geography, economic size, or common history, help predicting signed regional trade agreements (RTAs). However, not all signed RTAs are "natural" according to economic determinants. En-dogeneity and general equilibrium effects of RTAS are the two mechanisms addressed in this paper. We estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822134
Gravity equations have been used for more than 50 years to estimate ex post the partial effects of trade costs on international trade flows, and the well-known - and traditionally presumed exogenous - "trade-cost elasticity" plays a central role in computing general equilibrium trade-flow and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309578
, revealing that deepening existing agreements (the intensive margin of regional integration) could boost world trade by 5 percent … and world GDP by 1 percent. The expected gains from deepening agreements within or across regions vary depending on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012801551
We nest an extended two-way fixed effect (ETWFE) estimator for staggered difference-in-differences within the structural gravity model. To test the ETWFE, we estimate the effects of regional trade agreements (RTAs). The results suggest that RTA estimates in the current gravity literature may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014435475
threat President Trump has made if the proposed United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement is not passed by the U.S. Congress. We … the biggest loser; Canada is the biggest loser. Canada's welfare (per capita income) loss of 2.11 percent is nearly two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026353
We nest an extended two-way fixed effect (ETWFE) estimator for staggered difference-in-differences within the structural gravity model. To test the ETWFE, we estimate the effects of regional trade agreements (RTAs). The results suggest that RTA estimates in the current gravity literature may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431432
/or on gravity models of trade. Our results show that RTA formation appears to have a cyclical pattern on the world trade … network community structure. We document periods where bilateral trade flows and the structure of the world trade network are … in which the pattern in the world trade network is not explained by RTA formation. Two periods, 1986-1990 and 1997 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014207708
yields economically plausible and statistically significant estimates of the declining effect of “national borders” on world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212649
International trade in manufacturing goods has risen strongly over the past decades, contributing to the expansion of global value chains (GVCs). This paper studies how two factors contributed to this rise since 1970: (i) declining "border effects" that are arguably related to the ICT revolution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216588
This paper assembles detailed information on the market access provisions in trade in goods contained in 192 active regional trade agreements (RTAs) notified to the WTO as of November 2010. Although market access provisions in trade in goods in RTAs have been addressed in a number of studies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014163884