Negro, Marco Del; Schorfheide, Frank - In: Handbook of Economic Forecasting : volume 2, part A, (pp. 57-140). 2013
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models use modern macroeconomic theory to explain and predict comovements … of aggregate time series over the business cycle and to perform policy analysis. We explain how to use DSGE models for … counterfactual interest rate paths. Finally, we perform a post-mortem of DSGE model forecasts of the Great Recession, and show that …