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optimal policy balance in the context of catastrophic climate risk. The analysis uses the WITCH integrated assessment model … with a module that models the endogenous risk of experiencing an economic catastrophe if temperature increases above a … certain threshold. We find that the risk of a catastrophic outcome would encourage countries to reduce emissions even in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476445
responsiveness of mitigation to changes in adaptation decreases. Compared to a world without climate catastrophes, risk reduces the … balance in the context of climate catastrophic risk. The investigation enriches an integrated assessment model introducing the … caused by GHG emissions, and ultimately abatement choices. Results indicate that the presence of catastrophic risk induces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205479
In a structural dynamic model that incorporates two broad production sectors with different carbon emissions, we find that climate policy uncertainty (CPU) shocks (i) lower the market value of the highly carbon-emitting sector relative to the low carbon-emitting sector, and (ii) reduce real...
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climate change. The risk of uncertain and potentially irreversible catastrophes is an important issue related to the latter … benchmark integrated assessment model. This study moves beyond recent catastrophe or tipping point studies with arbitrary risk … introduced here informs risk management strategies that balance uncertain future climate change impacts with the costs of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019654
derive a general analytic formula for the "risk premium" governing the resulting climate policy. The formula generalizes … making under uncertainty. It clarifies the distinct roles of risk aversion, prudence, characteristics of the damage … formulation, and future policy response. We show that an optimal response to uncertainty substantially reduces the risk premium. …
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