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This paper provides practical insights into common statistical measures used to validate a model's discriminatory power for the probability of default (PD), loss liven default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD). The study has more of an informative value without delivering empirical evidence....
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The risk of counterparty default in banking, insurance, institutional, and pension-fund portfolios is an area of ongoing and increasing importance for finance practitioners. It is, unfortunately, a topic with a high degree of technical complexity. Addressing this challenge, this book provides a...
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We undertake a systematic study of the univariate and multivariate properties of CDS spreads using the CDS spread time series of CDX Investment Grade index constituents from 2005 to 2009. We find that CDS spread returns appear to be stationary and exhibit positive autocorrelations,...
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We derive a model for consumer loan default and credit card expenditure.The default model is based on statistical models for discrete choice, incontrast to the usual procedure of linear discriminant analysis. Themodel is then extended to incorporate the default probability in a modelof expected...
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