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In this paper an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose U.S. real GDP into trend and cycle components … rate in the early seventies. A further result is a remarkable decrease in the volatility of the cycle component and the …
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This paper proposes a new filter technique to separate trend and cycle based on stylised economic properties of trend … and cycle, rather than relying on ad hoc statistical proper-ties such as frequency. Given the theoretical separation … between economic growth and business cycle literature, it is necessary to make the measures of trend and cycle match what the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689322
It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
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integration impacts positively on business cycle comovements of economies. We consider three Western equity markets, represented … high frequencies have become less pronounced; (ii) the European markets are in phase at business cycle frequency, while the … findings of traditional business cycle research, and it has the advantage of using only readily available stock market data. …
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Evidence-based policy of global warming is best relying on a relevant sample of data. We choose a sample of annual data from 1959 to-date to provide some statistically robust stylized facts about the relationships between actual CO2 and temperature. Visually, there is a clear upward trend in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193782
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