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integration impacts positively on business cycle comovements of economies. We consider three Western equity markets, represented … high frequencies have become less pronounced; (ii) the European markets are in phase at business cycle frequency, while the … findings of traditional business cycle research, and it has the advantage of using only readily available stock market data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011609909
This paper proposes a new filter technique to separate trend and cycle based on stylised economic properties of trend … and cycle, rather than relying on ad hoc statistical proper-ties such as frequency. Given the theoretical separation … between economic growth and business cycle literature, it is necessary to make the measures of trend and cycle match what the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689322
It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754229
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In this paper an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose U.S. real GDP into trend and cycle components … rate in the early seventies. A further result is a remarkable decrease in the volatility of the cycle component and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408403
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We take a structural approach to assessing the empirical importance of shocks to the supply of bank-intermediated credit in affecting macroeconomic fluctuations. First, we develop a theoretical model to show how credit supply shocks can be transmitted into disruptions in the production economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313226
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