Over the past decades, cross-border financial flows have increased in importance and have in many occasions exceeded the underlying current account positions. This phenomenon has been accompanied by an increase in the volume of international equity transactions that accentuate the role of...

Der Festvortrag von Thomas Rachel, die Statements von Roland Berger, Peter Müller und Ludger Wößmann sowie die ifo Konjunkturprognose sind hier veröffentlicht.

Das DIW Berlin rechnet für 2010 und 2011 mit einem Wachstum des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts von 1,7 und 1,8 Prozent. Damit setzt die deutsche Wirtschaft ihren moderaten Erholungskurs der vergangenen Quartale fort. Zwar hat die Produktion im Winter überraschenderweise nur stagniert, dies ist...

This paper introduces a novel approach for dealing with the 'curse of dimensionality' in the case of large linear dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is...

The number of variables related to long-run economic growth is large compared with the number of countries. Bayesian model averaging is often used to impose parsimony in the cross-country growth regression. The underlying prior is that many of the considered variables need to be excluded from...

This paper addresses the mechanisms by which trade openness affects growth volatility. Using a diverse set of export concentration measures, we present strong evidence pointing to an important role for export diversification in conditioning the effect of trade openness on growth volatility....

A number of recent papers have found that certain measures of pollution worsen and later improve as income per head increases. It is widely believed that the downhill portion of this inverted-U curve reflects an induced policy response; that, as incomes rise, citizens demand improvements in...

The number of studies seeking to empirically characterize the reduced-form relationship between a country's economic growth and the quantity of various pollutants produced has recently increased significantly. In several cases researchers have found evidence in favor of an inverted-U...