In this paper we study 2-state Markov switching VAR models of monthly unemployment and inflation for three countries …: Sweden, United Kingdom, and the United States. The primary purpose is to examine if periods of low inflation are associated … variance in unemployment. In the U.S. case we find that the variance of unemployment is lower in the low inflation regime than …

rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co-integration …New-Keynesian macroeconomic models typically assume that any long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment is … data a strong negative correlation between the trend components of inflation and unemployment. We show that this finding …

investment can help hedge against inflation in the United States (US) and Canada. This study employed an autoregressive … distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration test developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001), and finds evidence of a positive long … against inflation in the United States and Canada. …

This paper measures the pass-through of exchange rate changes into domestic inflation within a cointegrated VAR (CVAR … inflation levels. Using quarterly data for 12 EA covering 1980:1 to 2010:4, we report a large degree of heterogeneity in the …

In general, central banks are concerned with keeping the inflation rate stable while also sustaining output close to an … efficient level. Under "inflation targeting", forecasts of the evolution of the general price level are an essential input for … policy decisions and these are usually released in quarterly "Inflation Reports". The costs and benefits of transparency in …

index of monetary conditions; dynamic forecasts of inflation; and the relation between inflation and the output gap …