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This paper constructs a macro-finance model with two types of borrowers: entrepreneurs who engage in productive activities and gamblers who play in lotteries. It links a central bank's interest rate policy to expected cash flows of both types of borrowers. Via this link we study how the...
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This paper seeks to eliminate or reduce confusions about (related) key concepts such as the risk free rate, safe assets and sovereign risk in policy and academic discussions. A lack of consensus and confusions on how to define, measure and price “sovereign risk” is an important obstacle in...
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Before the onset of the ongoing credit crisis I concluded that the available evidence supported the notion that financial markets were (significantly) underpricing risk . It will be argued in this paper that inherent (or structural) difficulties in the pricing of all sorts of risks is an...
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