Este trabajo desarrolla un modelo de determinacion del tipo de cambio donde la unica causa de las fluctuaciones es la expectativa de una realineacion. En este modelo se considera la banda cambiaria optima como la que minimiza una combinacion lineal de la varianza asintotica de las desviaciones...

We study the process of external adjustment to large terms-of-trade level shifts-identified with a Markov-switching approach-for a large set of countries during the period 1960-2015. We find that adjustment to these shocks is relatively fast. Current accounts experience, on average, a...

This paper assesses the dynamic impact of global macroeconomic conditions, commodity price movements, shifts in portfolio preferences, and domestic shocks on fiscal outcomes-notably the budget deficit, its main components, and debt-across a wide range of countries. Heterogeneity is investigated...