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Finanzmärkte, Unternehmen und Vertrauen : neue Wege der internationalen Konjunkturübertragung

Schröder, Michael (ed.) - 2003 - 1. Aufl.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001732146

Tracking economic growth in real time during the pandemic : a rationale for a revision of €-coin

Aprigliano, Valentina; Emiliozzi, Simone; Lippi, Marco - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013268237

Markov switching with endogenous number of regimes and leading indicators in a real-time business cycle forecast : conference paper

Theobald, Thomas - 2013

This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339952

Corporate bond spreads and real activity in the euro area : least Angle Regression forecasting and the probability of the recession

Buchmann, Marco - 2011

This paper aims at providing a detailed analysis of the leading indicator properties of corporate bond spreads for real economic activity in the euro area. In- and out-of-sample predictive content of corporate bond spreads are examined along three dimensions: the bonds’ quality , their term to...