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This paper applies a filtered historical simulation (FHS) approach to macroeconomic scenario generation. The aim of the approach is to generate more plausible macroeconomic scenarios than other macroeconomic scenario models such as the global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. This paper shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926995
Using data for three publicly quoted firms, all of whom operate within the upstream oil industry, this study provides evidence for feasibility of incidence of contradictions (`contradictions of ranking') between a ranking of fundamental valuations, and corresponding ranking of market valuations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899514
In all investment decisions it is important to determine the degree of uncertainty associated with the valuation of a company. We propose an original and robust methodology to company valuation which replaces the traditional point estimate of the conventional Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224260
This paper presents two stocks recommendation systems based on a stochastic characterization of firm present value that extends the conventional discounted cash flow analysis. In the Single-Stock Quantile recommendation system, the market price of a company's stocks is compared with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229900
The DCF method or multiples are used to value companies in practice. Starting with the value additivity principle, the paper presents a general framework for DCF valuation. This framework allows defining stepwise and aggregated approaches to value risky cash flows and identifying inconsistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926265
We examine U.S. dual and single class firms in 1980-2017, and document that the valuation difference between dual and single class firms varies over their life cycle. At the IPO, dual class firms have higher mean valuations than single-class firms, and we present evidence suggesting that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853540
The paper studies how stock price misvaluation and financial frictions affect whether an acquisition occurs between or within industries and whether the acquirer pays in cash or stocks. I set up a model where stock market misvaluation correlates within industries and across industries and assume...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621231
Although there is a strong consensus that the weights in the cost of capital calculation must be market value weights, in a business valuation, appraisers do not use an unique approach to estimate the capital structure that will prevail in the future. In fact, both practitioners and academics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999513
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974088
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428218