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This paper presents an empirical analysis of the efficiency of the UK debt management authorities's (DMA) behaviour from a cost minimisation perspective over the period January 1985 to March 1995. During this period, the maturity structure of the government's bond portfolio was subject to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781627
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the efficiency of the UK debt management authorities?s (DMA) behaviour from a cost minimisation perspective over the period January 1985 to March 1995. During this period, the maturity structure of the government?s bond portfolio was subject to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321183
Compiling a unique dataset describing the career trajectories of 634 former and in office public officials at debt management units (DMUs) across 26 OECD countries, this article assesses the revolving door phenomenon in government debt management. The analysis' purpose is twofold: (i) to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174844
This paper exploits information contained in cross-sectional PEG ratios to extract estimates of the market's expectations for aggregate returns and economic fundamentals. By combining the loglinear present-valuation model and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) logic, we establish a theoretic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101421
The paper introduces a portfolio-based Keynesian dynamic stochastic general disequilibrium model. It is an endogenous phase-switching macroeconomic model of risky investment where the rational expectation is applied in the financial market with three financial instruments of stocks, credits, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839941
This collection of papers analyzes the versatility and predictive power of survey expectations data in asset pricing and macroeconomic forecasting. The first paper, Using Sentiment Surveys to Predict GDP Growth and Stock Returns sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055949
We study the debt-stabilizing properties of indexing debt to GDP using a consumption-based macro-finance model. Three results stand out: (i) GDP-linked bond prices would embed sizeable and time-varying risk premiums of about 40 basis points, (ii) for a fixed budget surplus, issuing GDP-linked...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835206
The biggest and most well-known unsolved problem in academic finance is famously referred to as the Equity Premium Puzzle. It refers to the unexplained phenomenon that for over 100 years the average return on a well-diversified portfolio of equities has far outperformed that of risk-free,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838903
We analyze how concerns for model misspecification on the part of international lenders affect the desirability of issuing state-contingent debt instruments in a standard sovereign default model à la Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). We show that for the commonly used threshold state-contingent bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030625
This paper investigates fiscal sustainability in an overlapping generations economy with endogenous growth coming from human capital formation through educational spending. We assess how budgetary imbalances affect economic dynamics and the outlook for economic growth, thereby providing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319069