This paper investigates the trade-productivity growth relationship by incorporating uncertainty/volatility in a VECM-GARCH model. Using Singapore as a case study, we find evidence supporting the crucial role of imports as a beneficial conduit for growth in both total factor productivity (TFP)...

Ignoring consumption inequality between individuals within a household is shown to not only underestimate the Gini coefficient and poverty measures but these vary considerably over different income groups even in a small island state like Fiji. Interestingly, the Kuznets curve for...

An impulse response function is derived for a vector autogressive model with a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean process. The multivariate GARCH volatility speci cation is based on Tsiaplias and Chua (2009) and accommodates both direct and indirect volatility spillovers. The impulse response function...

The use of parametric GARCH models to characterize crude oil price volatility is widely observed in the empirical literature. In this paper, we consider an alternative approach involving nonparametric method to model and forecast oil price return volatility. Focusing on two crude oil markets,...

Large shareholders may affect managerial decisions through the threat of selling their holdings and thereby negatively influencing price. The split-share structure of Chinese corporate ownership imposes restrictions on ownership and shares trading. Using these institutional features, we test the...