-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … the current and recent recessions. We show empirically that these saving spikes were short-lived and common to all working … age groups. We then study life-cycle models in which recessions involve one or more of: (i) an aggregate permanent …

different consequences for the costs of recessions. Using U.S. employer-employee data, we find that employment growth at low … that while during recessions separations fall in both high-paying and low-paying firms, the decline is stronger among low …

recessions. If benefits are too generous, however, the programs can lengthen unemployment and raise the unemployment rate. The …

Does the yield curve have the ability to predict output and recessions? At some times and in certain places, of course … recessions in the post-World War Two period. The spread also predicts future real GDP growth for the US, although the forecast …