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Procyclical assets tend to rise in value when the economy is expanding and fall with the advent of a recession. Countercyclical assets are instead negatively correlated with the state of the economy. Despite the use of optimization methods, hedging, and ad hoc rebalancing techniques most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919938
Many monetary studies on the portfolio balance effect omit its impact to equity returns. Motivated through a simple general equilibrium model, we study how changes in the bond supply affect the overall equity market. Our model predicts that exogenous increases (decreases) in the bond supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013046
We provide a new portfolio decomposition formula that sheds light on the economics of portfolio choice for investors following the mean-variance (MV) criterion. We show that the number of components of a dynamic portfolio strategy can be reduced to two: the first is preference free and hedges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999249
Accepted wisdom, assuming capital market equilibrium and low cash returns, advises investors to hold optimal portfolios containing little cash. But credit crunches - periods of non-price credit rationing when effective cash yields are very high - happen in the real world. Because of this, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153212
The author's study analyzes, loan valuation methods using discrete time model of contingent claims analysis. In the empirical test, the undiversifiable risk was measured by the correlation coefficient of one borrower with the average return of all borrowers. The results of the test supported the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920146
This paper presents a portfolio model of asset price effects arising from large-scale asset purchases by central banks — commonly known as quantitative easing (QE). Two financial frictions, segmentation of the market for central bank reserves and imperfect asset substitutability, give rise to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992570
The belief that excess returns can be achieved by correctly timing changes in yields and/or yield spreads motivates active bond portfolio management strategies. Given the rich literature linking yield spread patterns to both the business cycle and changes in short-term interest rates, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906028
This paper focuses on the Spanish government debt market in an attempt to evaluate the immunization performance of the polynomial duration model of Chambers and Carleton (Chambers, D.R., Carleton, W.T., 1988. A generalized approach to duration. In: Chen, A.H. (Ed.), Research in Finance, vol. 7,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050756
This paper compares the immunization performance of alternative single and multiple factor duration models, using Spanish government bond data, over 1, 2 and 3-year horizons. The aim is to assess whether the success of duration-matching strategies is primarily attributable to the particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050760
Coval, Jurek, and Stafford (2009, CJS hereafter) claim that senior CDX tranches, which resemble economic catastrophe bonds, are overpriced relative to index options. We show that this result is due to their problematic calibration procedure and restrictive model assumptions. A simple correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091354