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the business cycle. We use futures contracts to distinguish between expected and unexpected changes in the Fed funds …) with respect to those with high credit ratings following an unexpected increase (decrease) in the Fed funds target rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070170
Although designed to support monetary policy, two crucial aspects of the central bank framework can disconnect the monetary policy transmission: banks' access to central bank deposits and Quantitative Easing (QE). We show how both hinder the monetary policy transmission through the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387237
Climate-related financial risks (CRFR) are now recognised by central banks and supervisors as material to their financial stability mandates. But while CRFR are considered to have some unique characteristics, the emerging policy agenda for dealing with them has largely focused on conventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843985
What are liquidity crises? And what can be done to address them? This short article brings together some personal reflections on this issue, largely based on previous work. In the process, it questions a number of commonly held beliefs that have become part of the conventional wisdom. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147647
What are liquidity crises? And what can be done to address them? This short paper brings together some personal reflections on this issue, largely based on previous work. In the process, it questions a number of commonly held beliefs that have become part of the conventional wisdom. The paper is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095362
This paper explores the term structure of interest rates implied by a stochastic endogenous growth model with imperfect price adjustment. The production and price-setting decisions of firms drive low-frequency movements in growth and inflation rates that are negatively related. With recursive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082851
We revisit the link between interest rates and corporate bond credit spreads by applying Rigobon's (2003) heteroskedasticity identification methodology to their interconnected dynamics through a bivariate VAR system. This novel approach allows us to account for endogeneity issues and to use this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890266
This paper studies the equilibrium term structure of nominal and real interest rates and time-varying bond risk premia implied by a stochastic endogenous growth model with imperfect price adjustment. The production and price-setting decisions of firms drive low-frequency movements in growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059133
We propose and test a new channel that links funding liquidity risk and interest rates in short-term funding markets. Borrowers with high liquidity risk are willing to pay a markup to lock in their funding, independent of risk premiums demanded by lenders. We test the channel using unique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012050871
The debt-to-GDP ratio predicts negatively cumulative nominal consumption growth up to 10-year horizon, which comes from the ratio's ability to forecast both lower real growth and deflation. Moreover, a higher debt-to-GDP ratio is associated with higher yield spreads, controlling for output gap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976246