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We analyse Ricardian Equivalence in open economy using a panel of 18 developed countries for 1973-1998. We use a dynamic panel estimated via instrumental variables and we discuss why this specification should be preferred to a static model estimated via ordinary least squares. We find a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732785
We empirically assess whether a usually expected negative response of private consumption and private investment to a fiscal consolidation is reversed. We focus on a large sample of 174 countries between 1970 and 2018. We also employ three alternative measures of the Cyclically Adjusted Primary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504460
Widening income disparities, higher corruption and larger informality in many emerging market and developing economies (EMDE) including Latin America, all with pressing and mounting fiscal problems, have rekindled interest in the empirical analysis of the key factors determining the occurrence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015329951
The ability of discretionary fiscal policy to affect economic activity following shocks depends on how private agents react. This paper re-investigates the extent of possible offsetting private saving behaviour to fiscal policy changes. The results suggest that the private saving offset is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142980
The ability of discretionary fiscal policy to affect economic activity following shocks depends on how private agents react. This paper re-investigates the extent of possible offsetting private saving behaviour to fiscal policy changes. The results suggest that the private saving offset is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444625
This paper examines the extent to which fiscal policy actions may be offset by simultaneous, anticipatory changes in private saving, as well as the determinants of that offset. The conditions under which private agents will engage in forward-looking consumption-smoothing behaviour are quite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446274
The paper analyses the relationship between trade balance and government budget for the APEC countries over the 1980-2013 years. Using a panel data techniques, a 2-variable VAR is estimated. Empirical findings show that for the whole APEC members as well as for the ASEAN sub-sample a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933076
This paper analyzes the effects on present consumption of budget deficits under different assumptions regarding demographics. In the first part, birth and death rates are deterministic; and in the second part, birth rates are assumed to be stochastic. In the case of a deterministic population...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108146
This paper shows that the Ricardian Equivalence proposition can continue to hold when expectations are not rational and are instead formed using adaptive learning rules. In temporary equilibrium, with given expectations, Ricardian Equivalence holds under the standard conditions for its validity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143807
We study the impact of sovereign solvency on the private-public savings offset. Using data on 80 economies for 1989–2010, we find robust evidence for a U-shaped pattern in the private-public savings offset in sovereign credit ratings. While the 1:1 savings offset implied by Ricardian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902385