During the recent financial crisis in the U.S., banks reduced new business lending amidst concerns about borrowers' ability to repay. At the same time, firms facing higher borrowing costs alongside a worsening economic outlook reduced investment. To explain these aggregate business cycle...

Indicators of government activity must be carefully designed to be relevant, credible and accountable. Frustration with reform pressures suggests that measures of policy activity are not providing accurate information. In fact, indicators of product or labour market regulation fail to measure...

This paper studies the wasteful effect of bureaucracy on the economy by addressing the link between opportunistic behavior of government bureaucrats and the public sector wage bill. In particular, public officials are modeled as individuals competing for a larger share of those public funds. A...

The nature of oil demand influences the oil extraction rate and hence has implications for both the timing of oil exhaustion and optimal climate policy. We analyse what role oil demand specification plays in strategic interactions b between an oil-importing country producing final goods and...

Governments around the world are attempting to support individuals' incomes, rescue distressed businesses, and preserve employer-employee relationships damaged in the coronavirus pandemic by adopting fiscal stimulus programs of unprecedented scale. Although the bulk of this spending will involve...

This paper studies the impact of financial sector size and leverage on business cycles and risk-free rates dynamics. We model a general equilibrium productive economy where financial intermediaries provide costly risk mitigation to households by pooling the idiosyncratic risks of their...

This paper constructs an analytically tractable model of endogenous innovation with a special focus on the effects of barriers to entry, namely patents. Conventional models of endogenous growth rely on the existence and enforcement of intellectual property rights with patents. Those legal rights...

We propose a simple macrodynamic model to rethink some standard policy prescriptions. Our model includes exogenous growth, endogenous investment, demand-driven production and employment, a dynamic Phillips curve, and fiscal and monetary policy instruments. The model has multiple steady states...

A number of recent studies regress a “narratively” identified measure of a macroeconomic shock directly on an outcome variable. In this note, we argue that this approach can be viewed as the reduced-form regression of an instrumental variable approach in which the narrative time series is...

When real wages in an economy no longer reflect productivity, normally devaluations of the currency restore international price-competitiveness via imported inflation that reduces real wages. This instrument is not available in a currency union. The job has to be done by reductions in nominal...