In this paper, we disentangle tax revenue forecast errors into influences stemming from wrong macroeconomic assumptions and false predictions of the elasticities linking the tax base to its corresponding tax type. Across six tax types and the overall tax sum for Germany, we find a heterogeneous...

pt. 1. Introduction. 1. Introduction and outline -- pt. 2. Corporate profits and tax revenue. 2. The revenue elasticity. 3. Tax loss asymmetries. 4. Taxes and income shifting -- pt. 3. A simulation model. 5. The distribution of profits. 6. Modelling deductions -- pt. 4. Corporate tax...

This paper attempts to extend the theoretical and empirical methodology employed in previous literature, by proposing a utility maximization process to estimate the optimal tax revenue from a sample of 30 countries. It is shown that an optimal tax system is defined solely by two crucial...