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media coverage of economic news in Germany, we find that a higher volume of economy-wide news indeed signifi cantly … of sectoral output comovement. Although firms tend to be more susceptible to bad news, the tone of media coverage only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484401
It is well known that movements in lending rates are asymmetric; they rise quickly and sharply, but fall slowly and gradually. Not known is the fact that the asymmetry is stronger the less developed a country's financial system is. This new fact is here documented and explained in a model with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157630
Systemic risk builds up during booms in an economy featuring asymmetric information in asset markets, where investors' hidden effort choices endogenously determine asset quality distribution. Higher asset prices during booms induce more investors to sell their assets, which lowers their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935483
I consider a real business cycle model in which agents have private information about an idiosyncratic shock to their value of leisure. I consider the mechanism design problem for this economy and describe a computational method to solve it. This is an important contribution of the paper since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043960
Asymmetric information is crucial for understanding the disruption of the supply of credit. This paper studies a dynamic economy featuring asymmetric information and resulting adverse selection in credit markets. Entrepreneurs seek loans from banks for projects, but asymmetric information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849147
In this paper, I explore how optimal aggregate dynamics can be shaped by the presence of moral hazard in unemployment insurance. I also analyze the optimal provision of unemployment insurance and the implications for the amount of cross-sectional heterogeneity. The economy that I consider embeds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887595
This paper studies the effect of inter-entrepreneurial productivity variation on investment under asymmetric information and signalling in the credit market. When productivity is not sufficiently dispersed, safe-type entrepreneurs face borrowing constraints and might under- or over-invest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902948
response to positive news about future productivity, as well as the other properties of an expectation driven business cycle … Portier’s (2006) empirical results and the emerging standard view of expectation driven booms. -- business cycles ; news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833848
We assess how survey expectations impact production and pricing decisions on the basis of a large panel of German firms. We identify the causal effect of expectations by matching firms with the same fundamentals but different views about the future. The probability to raise (lower) production is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001909
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063