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The 1987 market crash was associated with a dramatic and permanent steepening of the implied volatility curve for equity index options, despite minimal changes in aggregate consumption. We explain these events within a general equilibrium framework in which expected endowment growth and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008699179
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The basic model of financial economics is the Samuelson model of geometric Brownian motion because of the celebrated Black-Scholes formula for pricing the call option. The asset's volatility is a linear function of the asset value and the model garantees positive asset prices. In this paper it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539634
I find that stocks with high sensitivities to changes in the VIX slope exhibit high returns on average. The price of VIX slope risk is approximately 2.5% annually, statistically significant and cannot be explained by other common factors, such as the market excess return, size, book-to-market,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044719
I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
Implied correlation and variance risk premium stand out in predicting market returns. However, while the predictive ability of implied correlation lasts for up to a year, the variance risk premium predicts market returns only for one quarter ahead. Contrary to the accepted view, implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964588
The use of futures exchange contracts instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot yield and the premium. We find that the forward premium puzzle (FFP) depends significantly on the maturity horizon of the futures contract and the choice of sampling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209529
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We present conditions under which positive alpha exists in the realm of active portfolio management - in contrast to the controversial result in (Jarrow (2010) which implicates delegated portfolio management by surmising that positive alphas are illusionary. Specifically, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117245
We explore the effects of fat tails on the equilibrium implications of the long run risks model of asset pricing by introducing innovations with dampened power law to consumption and dividends growth processes. We estimate the structural parameters of the proposed model by maximum likelihood. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122690