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Nonlinearities and asymmetric adjustment to PPP in an exchange rate model with inflation expectations

Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021

This paper estimates a model of the real exchange rate including standard fundamentals as well as two alternative measures of inflation expectations for five inflation targeting countries (UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) over the period January 1993-July 2019. Both a benchmark linear...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438461

Rational Speculative Bubbles and Commodities Markets : Application of Duration Dependence Test

Went, Peter - 2011

The presence of rational speculative bubbles in 28 commodities is investigated using the duration dependence test on the stochastic interest-adjusted basis. 11 of 28 commodities experienced some episodes of rational speculative bubble. These commodities are WTI crude oil, coffee, corn, soybean...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121177

Exchange Rate Parities and Taylor Rule Deviations

Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021

This paper investigates the PPP and UIP conditions by taking into account possible nonlinearities as well as the role of Taylor rule deviations under alternative monetary policy frameworks. The analysis is conducted using monthly data from January 1993 to December 2020 for five...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236279

A note on the interaction between stock prices and exchange rates in Middle-East economies

Parsva, Parham; Tang, Chor Foon - In: Economic research 30 (2017) 1,1, pp. 836-844

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224115

Do exchange rate changes have symmetric or asymmetric effects on stock prices?

Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen; Saha, Sujata - In: Global finance journal 31 (2016), pp. 57-72

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714642

Restrictive US trade policy has a significantly negative effect on financial markets

Boer, Lukas; Menkhoff, Lukas; Rieth, Malte - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 11 (2021) 31, pp. 219-225

With its America First strategy, the former US administration turned away from an internationally oriented trade policy. It attempted to assert its interests, especially vis-à-vis China, with bilateral and mostly restrictive measures such as import tariffs. This Weekly Report shows that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612721

Periodically collapsing bubbles in stock prices cointegrated with broad dividends and macroeconomic factors

Fu, Man; Bidarkota, Prasad V. - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 4 (2012) 1, pp. 97-132

output gap shows evidence of cointegration in the DJIA and S&P 500 index data. Nonetheless, a sup augmented Dickey …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555939

The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited : long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2012

Esteve García, Vicente; Navarro Ibáñez, Manuel; … - 2017

regression models, 2010) as well as the cointegration tests developed in Arai and Kurozumi (Testing for the null hypothesis of … cointegration with a structural break, 2007) and Kejriwal (Cointegration with structural breaks: an application to the Feldstein …- Horioka Puzzle, 2008). The results obtained are consistent with the existence of linear cointegration between the log stock …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745419

Monetary policy surprises, central bank information shocks, and economic activity in a small open economy

Laséen, Stefan - 2020

In this paper I study the effects of monetary policy on economic activity and asset prices in Sweden, separately identifying the effects of a conventional policy change from effects of new information about economic fundamentals. Recent research has shown that high-frequency changes in policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309007

Financial crises, macroeconomic variables, and long-run risk : an econometric analysis of stock returns correlations (2000 to 2019)

Tronzano, Marco - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 3/127, pp. 1-25

This paper focuses on four major aggregate stock price indexes (SP 500, Stock Europe 600, Nikkei 225, Shanghai Composite) and two "safe-haven" assets (Gold, Swiss Franc), and explores their return co-movements during the last two decades. Significant contagion effects on stock markets are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486245