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While it is widely agreed that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds as a long-run concept the specific dynamic driving the process is largely build upon a priori economic belief rather than a thorough statistical modeling procedure. The two prevailing time series models, i.e. the exponential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008908972
The purpose of this study is to investigate the validity of the absolute version of the purchasing power parity (PPP) of a sample of four advanced and four emerging countries covering the period from 1993 to 2014. To examine the existence of PPP we apply the Augmented Dickey-Fuller, DF-GLS and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044515
We examine the asymptotic behavior of unit root tests against nonlinear alternatives of the exponential smooth transition type if the data is erroneously nonlinearly transformed. We show analytically and by a Monte Carlo study that the probability of rejecting the correct null of a random walk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009012716
Recent studies on general equilibrium models with transaction costs show that the dynamics of the real exchange rate are necessarily nonlinear. Our contribution to the literature on nonlinear price adjustment mechanisms is threefold. First, we model the real exchange rate by a Multi-Regime...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071197
A recent influential paper (O'Connell 1998) argues that panel data evidence in favor of purchasing power parity disappears once test procedures are altered to accommodate heterogenous cross-sectional dependence among real exchange rate innovations. We present evidence to the contrary. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735721
The study investigates how mis-allocation of Nigeria's foreign exchange among the consumer and capital goods and new materials between 1970 and 1983 contributed to the deep/worst business recession in the 1980s and 1990s. In recognition of the structural mal-adjustment problems faced by a debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993883
In ESTAR models it is usually difficult to determine parameter estimates, as it can be observed in the literature. We show that the phenomena of getting strongly biased estimators is a consequence of the so-called identification problem, the problem of properly distinguishing the transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950818
We consider a recently proposed class of nonlinear time series models and focus mainly on misspecification testing for models of such type. Following the modeling cycle for nonlinear time series models of specification, estimation and evaluation we first treat how to choose an adequate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003960982
In this paper we show the consequences of applying a panel unit root test when testing for a purchasing power parity relationship. The distribution of the tests investigated, including the IPS test of Im et al (1997), are influenced by a common stochastic trend which is usually not accounted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600044
Applying the new panel unit root test developed in this paper, we can overcome the pitfalls of old-fashioned panel unit root tests and makes it possible for researchers testing individual series for a unit root while taking contemporaneous cross-sectional dependence into account. The proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764810