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Government-issued longevity bonds would allow longevity risk to be shared efficiently and fairly between generations. In exchange for paying a longevity risk premium, the current generation of retirees can look to future generations to hedge their aggregate longevity risk. There are also wider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118088
Many countries face the problem of how to reform social security systems to cope with increasing life expectancy. This raises questions concerning both distribution and risk sharing across generations. These issues are addressed within an OLG model with stochastic life expectancy across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318146
-world mortality data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013302009
last decades. We claim that this needs to be addressed explicitly in many mortality modeling applications, for example in … the life insurance industry. To support this position, we provide a descriptive analysis of the mortality development of … impact a mortality jump has on the parameters, forecasts and implied present values of the popular Lee-Carter mortality model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230448
We propose a dynamic production function of population health and mortality from birth onwards. Our parsimonious model … provides an excellent fit for the mortality and survival curves for both primate and human populations since 1816. The model … mortality gradients across socio-economic statuses, (ii) non-monotonic dynamic effects of in-utero shocks, (iii) persistent or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243051
The Lee-Carter model has become a benchmark in stochastic mortality modeling. However, its forecasting performance can … architecture for mortality rate forecasting, empirically compare this model as well as other neural network models to the Lee …-Carter model and find that lower forecast errors are achievable for many countries in the Human Mortality Database. We provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243865
insurance companies. The value of this benefit depends on several processes assumed to describe both the mortality and the … literature is devoted to the valuation of GMMB for different mortality models, in particular when the mortality dynamics is … described by affine models of diffusion type. In the present paper we assume for the mortality dynamics a self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238786
We study the implications of longevity shocks for corporate bond markets, corporate debt financing and investment through the lens of life insurers. Longevity shocks shift life insurers' demand for bonds of specific maturities. When longevity increases, life insurance companies increase their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257811
Affine mortality models are well suited for theoretical and practical application in pricing and risk management of … mortality risk. They produce consistent, closed-form stochastic survival curves allowing for the efficient valuation of … mortality-linked claims. We model USA age-cohort mortality data using five multi-factor affine mortality models. We focus on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368640
Pooled annuity products, where the participants share systematic and idiosyncratic mortality risks as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363078