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crashes, excess volatility, serially uncorrelated returns, fat-tailed return distributions and volatility clustering, thereby … regimes with high volatility originate from the fact that speculators extract stronger trading signals out of past stock price …
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The volatility specification of the Markov-switching Multifractal (MSM) model is proposed as an alternative mechanism … for realized volatility (RV). We estimate the RV-MSM model via Generalized Method of Moments and perform forecasting by … volatility models of asset returns. An intra-day data set for five major international stock market indices is used to evaluate …
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