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, and time periods, separate metaregressions are estimated; one using estimates with the unemployment rate as the dependent … variable, and the other with output as the dependent variable. Our findings indicate that the specification of the underlying … unemployment and economic growth, researchers should bear in mind that there are a number of methodological choices that have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013164466
-related variables accounts for changes (rises) in the Okun's parameter in the US in recent decades. Accordingly, the unemployment gap is … increasingly associated with a smaller output gap. Whilst the Great Recession accelerated that rise, the bulk of the change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135950
with a SVAR model by inspecting how unemployment responds to the state of the economy. We show that deviations from Okun …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332832
then consider the joint impact of states' unemployment benefit programs and the federal CARES Act on national inequality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254047
The presence of discontinuities in the January rounds of Philippine Unemployment Data from 1981-2006 is investigated by … an abrupt change in unemployment rates in the mid-1980s and in 2005-2006. The former may reflect the political and … unemployment adopted in 2005 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053163
In this work the precision and stability of the forecasts of Chile's unemployment rates are analyzed. Said models were … the signs of persistence that the unemployment indicator shows in its behavior; nevertheless, starting from the estimation … obtained, which empirically upholds the proposal of addressing the unemployment rate as a non stationary series. The evaluation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103283
at risk in the euro area and in the United States. We model the asymmetry of the shocks to changes in the unemployment … the unemployment rate displays time-varying volatility and skewness, with peaks coinciding with the Global Financial … risk defined as the possible joint event of large increases in the unemployment rate and large annual rates of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362647
disaggregate unemployment and in the cross-sectional differences across individuals of the duration of unemployment spells. The …-space model of Ahn and Hamilton (2016). I found that the contribution of each factor to the dynamics of disaggregate unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578275
In this paper we study international linkages when forecasting unemployment rates in a sample of 24 OECD economies. We … propose a Global Unemployment Factor (GUF) and test its predictive ability considering in-sample and out-of-sample exercises … information to predict domestic unemployment rates, at least for these last seven countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845239
state-level initial unemployment insurance claims, changes in the unemployment rate, and changes in private employment. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842419