Showing 1 - 10 of 14,210
This paper studies international trade and macroeconomic dynamics triggered by economic sanctions, and the associated welfare losses, in a calibrated, three-country model of the world economy. We assume that there are two production sectors in each country, and the sanctioned country has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456602
I propose a new explanation for the failure of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) that can rationalize not only the classic UIP puzzle, but also the evidence that the puzzle reverses direction at longer horizons. In the model, excess currency returns arise as compensation for endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969679
We argue that a transaction tax is likely to amplify, not dampen, volatility in the foreign exchange markets. Our … trades disproportionately, leading to increased volatility. Empirical support for this prediction is found by investigating … the effect of transaction costs on the volatility of DEM/USD and JPY/USD returns. High-frequency data are used and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223793
channels of effectiveness. Respondents disagreed with predominant views on intervention and volatility and common arguments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051506
We study the forecasting of future realized volatility in the foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets from variables … in the information set, including implied volatility backed out from option prices. Realized volatility is separated into … its continuous and jump components, and the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model is applied with implied volatility as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003762693
transition from the former to the latter. With respect to the volatility transmission from interest rates to exchange rates and … ; Multivariate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003893830
evolves over time and that it is different under different market conditions defined by exchange rate volatility. Further, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008746440
This paper investigates fundamentals-based exchange rate predictability from a different perspective. We focus on predicting currency swings (major trends in depreciation or appreciation) rather than on quantitative changes of exchange rates. Having used a nonparametric approach to identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122926
explain the role of trading volume on exchange rate volatility (Mixture Distribution Hypothesis), taking into account non … and the volume are high, the relationship between trading volume and volatility tends to increase. Linking this result … volatility, even in turbulent periods. This paper provides the first empirical corroboration of this proposition and seems to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103637
In this paper we use three euro exchange rates to test for the presence of volatility spillovers, common volatility … components and time-varying correlations using the multivariate-GARCH model and the common volatility methodology approach … proposed by Engle and Kozicki (1993). Our results suggest that the three currencies exhibit some degree of volatility spillover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155913