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We propose an approach for Bayesian inference in time-varying structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) identified with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505805
Many products and services can be described as mixtures of ingredients whose proportions sum to one. Specialized models have been developed for linking the mixture proportions to outcome variables, such as preference, quality and liking. In many scenarios, only the mixture proportions matter for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531150
This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012405305
This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501159
The ratio of consumption to total household wealth (i.e., tangible assets plus unobserved human wealth) is commonly calculated from the estimation of a log-linear version of the household intertemporal budget constraint as a cointegrating relationship between consumption, assets and earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844588
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper features a large cross-sectional dimension N but short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932215
)), a derivation of the Bayesian methods developed in academia, has particular practical appeal for institutional investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042184
There has been a call for caution when using the conventional method for Bayesian inference in setidentified structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014368558
fitting time series data using a Bayesian dynamical systems approach we identify non-linear interactions between GDP, child …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425735
Global emissions beyond 44 gigatonnes of carbondioxide equivalent (GtCO2e) in 2020 can potentially lead the world to an irreversible climate change. Employing a novel dynamical system modeling approach, we predict that in a business-asusual scenario, it will reach 61 GtCO2e by 2020. Testing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428663