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This paper examines the impact of terrorism on economic growth and capital formation using data for 152 countries from 1970 to 2003.During the past thirty-five years, the world has witnessed nearly twenty thousand terrorist incidents. The increasingly global scope of terrorism has raised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059225
The two Cambridge controversy have marked a milestone in economic thinking. By their demonstration neo-Ricardian and post-Keynesian seemed to have proven the impossibility of defining the notion of Capital and, moreover, of being able to aggregate heterogeneous Capital. It is not so.By reasoning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295977
The ideas of modern macroeconomics provided the intellectual justification of the economic policies of the last 10 to 15 years. It is these ideas which the financial crisis falsified. The dominant paradigm in macroeconomic theory over the past 30 years has been that of rational agents who form...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014193084
The recent financial crisis has shown that liquidity fluctuations in asset markets can have a large impact on the real economy. Many central banks started unconventional monetary policies in 2008, but we still have little understanding of optimal monetary and fiscal policies in such an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972913
It is shown from empirical data that the Keynesian policy of continual stimulus of the US economy over decades has led to a mountain of debt and a destruction of economic growth. The causal mechanism of how this occurs has been identified. Excessive Keynesian monetary stimulation of aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021290
Empirical data is presented suggesting that high private and, to a lesser extent, public debt levels place a strong drag upon economic growth. A simple, demand-based, cash flow (DBCF) model of the economy is developed, separating out flows by marginal propensity to spend. This approach is both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980568
The basic asset pricing equation is adapted to include the effects of unemployment, consumers' expectations, the price level and money supply on money market rates and government bond yields. Expected consumption growth is modelled using European unemployment figures and Eurostat Consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133488
A fully inflation-indexed economy stabilizes economic inter-temporal relationships and offers a set of potential benefits: hedging the economy against inflation; improving the performance of the financial system; helping to lessen the most common housing and economic recessions of developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102427
Motivated by the US Fiscal Cli¤ in 2012, this paper considers the short- and longer term impact of uncertainty generated by scal policy. Empirical evidence shows increases in economic policy uncertainty lower investment and employment. Investment that is longer-lived and subject to a longer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055594
The Quarterly Model of Banco de España (MTBE, Modelo Trimestral del Banco de España), is a large-scale macro-econometric model used for medium term macroeconomic forecasting of the Spanish economy, as well as for performing scenario simulations. The model is specified as a large set of error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928031