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distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration test developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001), and finds evidence of a positive long …
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the conventional symmetrical panel ARDL (PARDL) model was not able to formulate long-run cointegration between currency …. However, asymmetrical cointegration was established between the currency values and stock market indexes for the pre …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013545812
Using U.S. data from 1926 to 2015, I show that financial skewness?a measure comparing cross-sectional upside and downside risks of the distribution of stock market returns of financial firms?is a powerful predictor of business cycle fluctuations. I then show that shocks to financial skewness are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115594
We examine the effect of demographic shifts on asset prices in an overlapping generations model with endogenous population dynamics. We establish a robust inverse relationship between returns and the old dependency ratio. We document the absence of a simple monotonic relationship between asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013466466
means of a Markov switching-SVAR (MS-SVAR) model in heteroskedasticity. Using data from France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010349257
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We show that after monetary policy announcements, the conditional volatility of stock market returns rises more for firms with stickier prices than for firms with more flexible prices. This differential reaction is economically large and strikingly robust to a broad array of checks. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974569
rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co-integration …New-Keynesian macroeconomic models typically assume that any long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment is … hypothesis necessarily holds in a European country like Germany where hysteretic effects may invalidate it. Inspired by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426365