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Reliability has been largely applied to industrial systems in order to study the various possibilities of systems … minimal paths leading to any system’s fault allows for a better control of systems’ safety. To this end, reliability is … reliability, which matches default risk analysis in a simple framework. Our extension includes other distributions of probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011513074
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003742957
We have conducted a survey research to measure the perception of the Genevese population regarding the problem of information overload. The sample size is 581. Main findings indicate that information overload is a real concern in Geneva and seems to affect the efficiency of companies. Themes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049089
Decision problems in environments with iid shocks are typically modeled as involving payoffs that follow a martingale process. The paper formalizes entrepreneurial skills as the ability to design optimal investment strategies for problems, in which payoffs do not follow a martingale. It develops...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014034432
We present a model of inductive inference that includes, as special cases, Bayesian reasoning, case-based reasoning, and rule-based reasoning. This unified framework allows us to examine, positively or normatively, how the various modes of inductive inference can be combined and how their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122230
We use a case study of a pension plan wishing to hedge the longevity risk in its pension liabilities at a future date. The plan has the choice of using either a customised hedge or an index hedge, with the degree of hedge effectiveness being closely related to the correlation between the value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832832
This paper examines circumstances under which subjectivity enhances the effectiveness of inductive reasoning. We consider agents facing a data generating process who are characterized by inference rules that may be purely objective (or data-based) or may incorporate subjective considerations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011690761
We investigate the compensation of counterparty exposure in the prices of structured products. Our analysis reveals that product issuers do not compensate retail investors for counterparty exposure before the Lehman default. Post-Lehman, retail prices no longer neglect this risk. We also measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410201
With the New Basle Capital Accord banks' capital requirements are determined with risk weights based on internal and external ratings and probabilities of default (PD's). PD's are mostly estimated from historical default rates. In recent working papers the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073399
Hull White approach to Wrong Way Risk in the computation of the Credit Value Adjustment is considered the most straightforward generalization of the standard Basel approach. The model is financially intuitive and it can be implemented by a slight modification of existing algorithms for CVA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024331