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In recent years the euro area has shown less resilience to the negative and largely OECD-wide common shocks than the English-speaking countries, but most of the smaller euro area countries have fared better than the large ones. This paper reviews policy issues that are important in fostering a...
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Badinger and Schiman (2023) use a narrative high-frequency analysis of news and financial markets to develop a small set of restrictions on the structural shocks of a VAR of the Euro area. Their approach does not uniquely identify a structural representation, so their results are based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015073581
-Wouters model and its forecasts of real GDP growth and inflation are compared with those from two extensions. The first adds … extensions improve the density forecasts of real GDP and inflation and their joint forecasts up to an eight-quarter horizon. We … find that adding financial frictions leads to a deterioration in the forecasts, with the exception of longer-term inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813503
and borrowing, similarities of inflation, and the correlation coefficient of detrended GDP. The index serves as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520004
The paper analyzes the convergence of inflation rates in the group of more developed members of the Eurozone (core … countries). What are the characteristics and is the inflation process in these countries sufficiently homogeneous? Are the … analysed inflation rates converging, so that there is an indication that these countries tend to form the optimal currency area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281769
place. However, as actual developments in the Eurozone reveal, the political process of approaching an OCA is piecemeal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075363
international price-competitiveness via imported inflation that reduces real wages. This instrument is not available in a currency … union. The job has to be done by reductions in nominal wages that are felt as more severe pain than inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928858
The paper analyses the common European monetary policy based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework, which is combined with the theory of optimum currency areas. It shows how since the turn of the millennium a too expansionary monetary policy contributed to unsustainable overinvestment booms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619626