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The primary purpose of the study is to identify and measure the properties of asset bubbles, volatility clustering, and … particular, we focus on the 2000 DotCom Bubble, the 2008 Housing Crisis, and the 2015 Chinese Bubble. We employ three main … empirical methods; the LPPL model to identify asset bubbles, the DCC-GARCH model to measure volatility clustering, and the …
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This paper provides an early warning indicator for bubbles in financial markets. The indicator is based on traditional … consensus bubbles and gives warning signals well ahead of the crash, in most cases as early as 12 months ahead. The indicator … also signals most of the 'negative bubbles' before their turning points …
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