factor are typically small, with the annualized unconditional volatility estimated at 0.06%, but highly persistent, with … estimated persistence at 0.98. Evidence of time variation in the volatility of the global factor is overwhelming as there are … times in which volatility could be several times larger than its unconditional level (about ten times in the aftermath of …

, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid …The globalization of capital and product markets has many implications for economic welfare. Countries can specialize … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …

, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid …The globalization of capital and product markets has many implications for economic welfare. Countries can specialize … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …

We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2005. We … show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate … temperatures, a +1oC increase in temperature volatility causes on average a 0.9 per cent decline in GDP growth and a 1.3 per cent …