The development of employment and unemployment in regional labour markets is known to spatially interdependent. Global Vector-Autoregressive (GVAR) models generate a link between the local and the surrounding labour markets and thus might be useful when analysing and forecasting employment and...

In spite of very easy financing conditions globally, investment has been rather weak in the aftermath of the Great Recession. What explains this apparent disconnect? The evidence suggests that, historically, uncertainty about the future state of the economy and expected profits play a key role...

We present a model, in which a small industrialised economy outsources part of its production into a small foreign country which is well endowed with low-skilled labour. We analyse under which conditions sinking trade costs stimulate outsourcing activities, thereby increasing the wage dispersion...

Since the revival of the gravity literature in the early nineties most work has been done with cross-section data. Just a few more recent contributions made use of panel data. So far that research left open the question whether to treat time and country effects as random or fixed. This note...

This paper assesses the impact of market power and multinationality in EU12 manufacturing industries on EU integration in goods trade in the 90ies. An increase in the market concentration exhibits a positive impact on bilateral exports, while an increase in multinationality works in the opposite...

The envisaged EU enlargement will lead to a redirection of Structural and Cohesion Funds expenditures from current to new EUmembers. This redistribution of funds makes the accession countries even more attractive as a location of FDI. Using a logistic regressions approach, this paper shows that...

This paper provides an update of de Nardis and Vicarelli (2003) estimates of the euro effect on trade integration of EMU economies, taking into account aggregate bilateral exports of 23 OECD countries for the sample period 1988-2003. In this paper we utilize the dynamic panel data estimator...

Common approaches to test for the economic value of directional forecasts are based on the classical Chi-square test for independence, Fisher’s exact test or the Pesaran and Timmerman (1992) test for market timing. These tests are asymptotically valid for serially independent observations....