This paper proposes a new measure of tail risk spillover, namely the conditional coexceedance which is the number of joint occurrences of extreme negative returns in an industry conditional on an extreme negative return in the financial sector. The empirical application provides evidence of...

We hypothesize and find empirical evidence that two structural constraints of the industry are informative in the corporate failure prediction, industry concentration and dependence on customers and suppliers. Using an extensive database on corporate failures and bankruptcies in U.S. market from...

We examine the mechanism through which a financial crisis affects the default risk of real economy firms. Specifically, firms with strong dependence on bank financing suffer higher increases in default risk than firms with no such dependence. Conversely, firms relying solely on financing from...