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Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … volatility effects of the shock are driven by agents' concern about the (in)ability of the monetary authority to reverse … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard …
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We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US … suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about … these volatility effects are driven by the coexistence of agents' fears of unemployment and concerns about the (in) ability …
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We estimate the time-varying distribution of aggregate supply (AS) and aggregate demand (AD) shocks defined in the Keynesian tradition. In modeling the time variation in higher order moments, we distinguish between traditional Gaussian uncertainty and "bad" uncertainty, associated with negative...
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