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In this paper, the individual claim reserving model proposed by Pigeon et al. (2013) is extended to include paid and incurred data. Analytic expressions are derived for the expected ultimate losses, given observed development patterns. The usefulness of this new model is illustrated using a...
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In this paper, we propose models for non-life loss reserving combining traditional approaches such as Mack's or generalized linear models and gradient boosting algorithm in an individual framework. These claim-level models use information about each of the payments made for each of the claims in...
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In general insurance, the evaluation of future cash flows and solvency capital has become increasingly important. To assist in this process, the present paper proposes an individual discrete-time loss reserving model describing the occurrence, the reporting delay, the time to the first payment,...
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Variable annuities are investment vehicles offered by insurance companies that combine a life insurance policy with long-term financial guarantees. These guarantees expose the insurer to market risks, such as volatility and interest rate risks, which can only be managed with a hedging strategy....
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In the seismological and geophysics literature, it is suggested by numerous authors that the elapsed time between two earthquakes at a given location should be represented by either an exponential or Weibull distribution. In addition, the seismic gap hypothesis states that large waiting times...
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This paper presents a framework in which many structural credit risk models can be made hybrid by randomizing the default trigger, while keeping the capital structure intact. This produces random recovery rates negatively correlated with the default probability. The approach is implemented on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101883