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We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth … during a pandemic. Valuations would be significantly lower absent mitigation and a high vaccine arrival rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833123
We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections by using an asset-pricing framework that accounts for vaccines. Infections …-to-earnings ratios during a pandemic. Stock market values would be significantly lower absent mitigation and a high vaccine arrival rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834259
We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth … during a pandemic. Valuations would be significantly lower absent mitigation and a high vaccine arrival rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481801
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237974
Travel restrictions are often imposed to limit the spread of infectious diseases. As uniform restrictions can be inefficient and incur unnecessarily high costs, this paper examines the optimal design of restrictions that target specific travel routes. We propose a model with trade-offs between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083692
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012581314
The paper analyzes the scope for the private market for pandemic insurance and discusses the potential role of the …-frequency data that tracks the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US, we calibrate the loss distribution of a … hypothetical insurance contract designed to alleviate the impact of the pandemic on small businesses and employment. The model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237713
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793932
We measure the economic risk of epidemics at a geo-spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the … epidemic hazard prediction, we use data from 2014-2019 to compute measures for exposure, vulnerability, and resilience of the … local economy to the shock of an epidemic. Using a battery of proxies for these four concepts, we calculate the hazard (the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156716
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008659112