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The paper investigates the ability of oil price returns, oil price shocks and oil price volatility to provide predictive information on the state (high/low risk environment) of the US stock market returns and volatility. The disaggregation of oil price shocks according to their origin allows us...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910121
We investigate empirically the impact of electronic market-makers on the reliability and the consistency with which financial markets provide transactional liquidity services. Our analysis is based on proprietary intraday data from U.S. futures markets. We document results of considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053087
In this paper we propose a real options model for the valuation of a gas-fired power-generating turbine that can be switched off-and-on many times according to the time-varying profitability of energy production over the short- term. In this framework, we study the effect of including several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353460
We propose a comprehensive treatment of the leverage effect, i.e. the relationship between returns and volatility of a specific asset, focusing on energy commodities futures, namely Brent and WTI crude oils, natural gas and heating oil. After estimating the volatility process without assuming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407507
This paper develops an econometric price model with fundamental impacts for intraday electricity markets of 15-minute contracts. A unique data set of intradaily updated forecasts of renewable power generation is analyzed. We use a threshold regression model to examine how 15-minute intraday...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846723
This paper investigates the intraday electricity pricing of 15-minute contracts in night hours. We tailor a recently introduced econometric model with fundamental impacts, which is successful in describing the pricing of day contracts. Our estimation results show that mean reversion and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826585
We examine the impact of oil price and oil price volatility on US illiquidity premiums (return on illiquid-minus-liquid stocks), using the US Oil Fund options implied volatility OVX index. We use daily data from 2007 to 2018, taking into account the structural break in June 2009 and controlling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302569
With the increasing integration of wind and photovoltaic power in the whole European power system, there is a longing for detecting how to trade energy in the ever-changing intraday market from electric power industries. The intraday trading becomes even more relevant in the wake of the European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834121
We examine the impact of oil price and oil price volatility on US illiquidity premiums (return on illiquid-minus-liquid stocks), using the US Oil Fund options implied volatility OVX index. We use daily data from 2007 to 2018, taking into account the structural break in June 2009 and controlling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262061
Motivated by repeated price spikes and crashes over the last decade, we investigate whether the rapidly growing market shares of futures speculators have destabilized commodity spot prices. We approximate conditional volatility and regress it on expected and unexpected speculative open interest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112917