This study examines whether analysts' decisions to issue cash flows forecasts depend endogenously on their decision to use these forecasts to set target prices. An endogenous switching regression model, with analyst report regimes of disclosure and non-disclosure of cash flow forecasts, shows...

We assess investment banks' influence over the agreement between their analysts' research behavior and their clients' interests, in the post-reform era. Competing banks discipline their analysts with worse career outcomes for producing biased reports, issuing shirking reports, and for...

We propose an ex ante measure of analysts' production of private information (PPI) based on the correlations between analysts' forecast revisions and prior stock price changes. We validate this measure by examining whether analysts with lower correlations (higher PPI) provide more information...

In this paper I develop a model of a competitive financial system with unrestricted but costly entry and an endogenously determined number of competing financial institutions (“banks” for short). Banks can make standard loans on which plentiful historical data are available and unanimous...

We document that analysts cater to short-term investors by issuing optimistic target prices. Catering dominates among analysts at brokers without an investment banking arm as they face lower reputational cost. The market does not see through the analyst catering activity and their forecasts lead...

We examine how analysts' changing incentives driven by changes in market uncertainty affect analyst output, under a simple utility-maximizing framework. Analysts issue more optimistically biased forecasts and buy recommendations under high market uncertainty (VIX). The lower reputational costs...

We challenge the view that persistent differences in accuracy across analysts are proof that analysts differ in their ability to forecast stock prices. We show that these persistent differences in accuracy are driven instead by stock return volatility. Building upon option pricing theory, we...

This chapter is written to help those new to risk management and who want to understand the fundamentals of risk management. This chapter is based on my reading of various risk management contents and experience gained over the working period. The chapter covers the definition of risk, benefits...

VaR_Delta-Normal is derived from a Put option, named PVaR_Delta-Normal and Expected_Shortfall, PSF_Delta-Normal – the latter a coherent measure – guaranteeing VaR can never be larger than the fund value. Current standard VaR_Delta-Normal uses covariances calculated from the entire...

This is a course material (slides in pdf format) for the chapter Financial Analysis and Control Financial Ratio Analysis already in SSRN. In these slides I present a detailed explanation of different financial ratios commonly used in financial management. We introduce some examples in the slides...