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We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502
Post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD) is one of the most solidly documented asset pricing anomalies. We use the controlled conditions of an experimental lab to investigate whether earnings autocorrelation is the driving cause of this anomaly. We observe PEAD in settings with uncorrelated and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309456
I demonstrate that the preference by asset managers to diversify stocks and follow certain investment mandates result in forecastable contrarian trading on their largest positions. Since large-cap stocks are held in similar positions across most asset managers, few equity portfolios are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237899
This paper investigates the robustness of post-earnings-announcement-drift (PEAD) on a price signal perspective, unlike the traditional literature that focuses on fundamental signal. The studied period is 2003-2015, for four main US indices. The results suggest that some economic agents are too...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021921
Volatility is an important component of asset pricing; an increase in volatility on markets can trigger changes in the risk distribution of financial assets. In conventional financial theory, investors are considered to be rational and any changes in relevant risk are assumed to be a result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023919
Prior research demonstrates that investors respond differently to earnings surprises that are part of a string of consecutive earnings increases or surprises than to those that are not. To shed light on who values these patterns, I compare trading responses of small and large traders to earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106750
We study the role of firm ambiguity on stock price reaction to earnings announcements. By using the firm's variance risk premium (VRP) prior to earnings news arrivals as a proxy for firm-level information ambiguity, we provide evidence that this “micro” form of ambiguity has a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913962
The Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) anomaly refers to the tendency of stock prices to continue drifting in the same direction as earnings surprises well through the subsequent earnings announcements; ignoring the autocorrelations in extreme earnings surprises across adjacent quarters....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090197
We investigate the stock price and trading volume effects of differential capital gains taxes applied to short and long-term capital gains when firms disclose public information. We extend the theoretical framework developed in Shackelford and Verrechia (2002) linking differential CGT to price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933494
Can an earnings announcement decrease disagreement about fundamentals while simultaneously increasing disagreement about price? Recent theory suggests the presence of short-horizon investors can lead to a polarization of higher-order beliefs about price (i.e., beliefs regarding the opinions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961117