Showing 1 - 10 of 23,045
This article measures the degree of potential de-anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area vis-à-vis the … inflation objective of the European Central Bank (ECB). A no-arbitrage term structure model that allows for a time-varying long …-term mean of inflation expectations, π୲ ∗, is applied to inflation-linked swap (ILS) rates, while taking into account survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069885
, premium components are less reactive to inflation shocks, while real rate responses change their sign from positive to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222610
, premium components are less reactive to a typical 10 bp increase in inflation, while real rate responses change their sign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299079
The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319393
This paper examines euro area inflation dynamics by estimating open economy New Keynesian Phillips curves based on the … survey data and OECD inflation forecasts are used to proxy inflation expectations. The results suggest that, compared with a … closed economy New Keynesian Phillips curve, euro area inflation dynamics are better captured by the open economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723885
This paper provides a toolkit for extracting accurate information about inflation expectations using inflation …-linked bonds. First, we show how to estimate term structures of zero-coupon real rates and break-even inflation rates (BEIRs) in … the euro area. This improves the analysis of developments in inflation expectations by providing constant maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316774
the determination of inflation and output in the euro area and the existence of a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319711
Using a novel dataset that integrates inflation expectations with information on social network connections, we show … that inflation expectations within one's social network have a positive, causal relationship with individual inflation …, socially determined inflation expectations induce imperfect risk-sharing and can affect the inflation and real output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015078554
The paper analyzes the convergence of inflation rates in the group of more developed members of the Eurozone (core … countries). What are the characteristics and is the inflation process in these countries sufficiently homogeneous? Are the … analysed inflation rates converging, so that there is an indication that these countries tend to form the optimal currency area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281769
According to the macro-econometric literature, the impact of exogenous oil price shocks on Inflation have greatly … increased in the last two decades throughout OECD countries while the persistence of those shocks on long-term inflation, namely … core inflation, has dramatically decreased. In the meantime, the market for inflation derivatives soared, spurred by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007199